EB
EQUITY BANCSHARES INC (EQBK)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 results were resilient: GAAP diluted EPS $0.86, core diluted EPS $0.94, net income $15.3M, and NIM 4.17%; credit costs remained modest despite a non-accrual migration in a single QSR relationship .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat (Actual* $0.93 vs Est* $0.89) while revenue missed (Actual* $58.37M vs Est* $60.46M); note S&P “actual” EPS is normalized and differs from GAAP EPS reported by management [GetEstimates*].
- Strategic catalysts: NBC Oklahoma closed July 2 (adds ~$0.70B loans and ~$0.80B deposits) with system conversion targeted for late August; management expects margin/earnings accretion and NIE savings in 2H25 .
- Balance sheet and capital strengthened: TCE ratio 10.63% (+50 bps q/q), TBV/share $32.17 (+$1.10 q/q); book equity up $18.3M in Q2, aided by AOCI improvement .
- Credit quality broadly stable apart from the QSR migration: NPA 0.85% of assets, ACL/loans 1.26%; net charge-offs annualized 0.06% in Q2 and 0.04% YTD .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin and core earnings momentum: NIM held at 4.17% (up ~10 bps vs core margin in Q1) with core NII growth of $1.8M driven by loan mix/yields and lower interest-bearing liability costs .
- NBC integration as earnings lever: portfolio cash redeployment and expected NIE savings in 4Q; management reiterated margin accretion from NBC assets/liabilities, with conversion in late August .
- Capital and book value accretion: TBV/share rose to $32.17 and TCE/TA to 10.63%, supported by earnings and improved AOCI; repurchased 7,500 shares at $36.46 while maintaining the $0.15 dividend .
Quote: “As we enter the second half of the year, we continue to be well positioned to drive growth both organically and via strategic M&A.” — Brad Elliott .
What Went Wrong
- QSR non-accrual migration: Non-accrual loans rose to $42.6M (+$18.3M q/q), largely one QSR relationship; total classified assets increased to $71.0M (11.4% of regulatory capital) .
- Revenue vs consensus miss: S&P Global revenue actual* $58.37M vs est* $60.46M; non-interest income normalized lower vs Q1 due to prior BOLI benefit [GetEstimates*] .
- End-of-period loan balances declined $30.9M on higher payoffs/line utilization decreases, though production was strong ($197M) and the pipeline grew 33% to $481M (75% probability) .
Financial Results
Quarterly Financials (document-based actuals)
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment/Balance Composition — Loans Held-for-Investment by Type
KPIs and Asset Quality
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We achieved strong earnings, core margin expansion, and successfully closed our merger with NBC Bank on July 2nd.” — Brad Elliott (CEO) .
- “Net income of $15.3 million or $0.86 per diluted share… Adjusting for M&A and debt extinguishment, $16.6 million or $0.94 per diluted share.” — Chris Navratil (CFO) .
- “Margin… improved 10 bps… driven by remixing of balance sheets… loans comprised 76% of average earning assets… and reduction in cost of interest-bearing liabilities.” — Chris Navratil (CFO) .
- “Production totaled $197 million… pipeline is $481 million, up $119 million or 33% from quarter one.” — Rick Sems (Bank CEO) .
- “Non-accrual loans closed the quarter at $42.6 million… increase almost entirely driven by [the] QSR relationship… path to exit underperforming locations over next several quarters.” — Kristof Slupkowski (CCO) .
Q&A Highlights
- NBC bond portfolio: Sold pre-close, arrives as cash for redeployment to securities/loans, minimal securities retained for pledging; no immediate actions required .
- QSR non-accrual path: Exit eight underperforming stores or sell package; expect stabilization over “at least three quarters”; accrual status could resume later next year if cash flows improve .
- Margin outlook: Core NIM expected to maintain around 4.17% with continued lagged repricing across loans/deposits; some runway into 2026 .
- Deposit betas: Majority of declines realized; future declines limited by competitive behavior; incremental benefit via growing commercial/DDAs .
- M&A target size: Focus on $250M–$1.5B institutions within footprint; robust dialogue driven by ownership/management timing versus regulation .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Q2 2025 Primary EPS Actual* $0.93 vs Consensus* $0.89 — bold beat; note management GAAP EPS $0.86 and core $0.94; S&P “actual” appears normalized, explaining the gap to GAAP [GetEstimates*] .
- Revenue: Q2 2025 Actual* $58.37M vs Consensus* $60.46M — bold miss; management drivers included lower non-interest income vs Q1 due to prior-period BOLI benefit [GetEstimates*] .
- Trajectory: Prior quarters show small EPS beats and revenue close to consensus; estimate revisions likely to reflect margin maintenance, NBC accretion, and elevated non-accruals (idiosyncratic credit) [GetEstimates*] .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core operating momentum intact: stable NIM at 4.17% and strong loan production/pipeline should support 2H25 earnings even as deposit cost relief plateaus .
- Idiosyncratic credit event (QSR) is manageable: non-accrual migration raised NPA metrics but charge-offs remain low; multiple resolution paths outlined with a multi-quarter timeline .
- NBC is a near-term accretive lever: immediate cash redeployment and cost synergies expected, with conversion late August; management reiterated NIE savings and margin benefits .
- Capital provides flexibility: TCE/TA 10.63% and rising TBV/share underpin capacity for organic/M&A growth while supporting dividends/repurchases .
- Estimate framing: Expect Street to modestly lift EPS trajectory for 2H25 on margin maintenance/NBC accretion but temper revenue assumptions given competitive deposit environment and non-interest income normalization [GetEstimates*] .
- Watchlist items: pace of QSR resolution, deposit competition pressure, NBC integration execution, and securities/cash redeployment choices post-close .
- Tactical setup: EPS beat vs consensus with stable margin and M&A catalyst is a constructive near-term narrative; monitor credit headlines and August conversion for incremental catalysts [GetEstimates*] .
Additional Q2 2025 Sources Reviewed
- Earnings press release with full financial tables and KPIs .
- Earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
- NBC merger completion press release (integration timeline, footprint expansion) .
- KBRA ratings press release (context on credit, profitability, capital) .
Prior Quarter References (for trend analysis)
- Q1 2025 earnings press release (NIM 4.27% with non-recurring; loan growth +$130.8M; NBC announced) .
- Q4 2024 earnings press release (capital raise; margin expansion; NPA dynamics) .